Research

Modeling Migration Flows with Non-Homogeneous Hidden Markov Models. Emile Esmaili, Upmanu Lall, Michael J. Puma, Aric Cutuli, Rachata Muneepeerakul. (2023). In AGU23.

hmmpaper

A Bayesian Hierarchical Framework for Modeling Migration Flows. Aric Cutuli, Upmanu Lall, Michael J. Puma, Emile Esmaili, Rachata Muneepeerakul. (2023). In AGU23. arxiv:2412.01242

bayesiampaper

Warfare Ignited Contagion Dynamics in Early Modern Europe. Emile Esmaili, Upmanu Lall, Michael J. Puma, Francis Ludlow, Eva Jobbova. (2024) arxiv:2411.18978

contagionpaper